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Tuesday, 10 May 2011

CNN-IBN-The Week-CSDS Post Poll Survey

Left Front marginally ahead in Kerala, but verdict too close to call



The CNN IBN-The Week-CSDS Post Poll Survey suggests the Left Front is marginally ahead of the Congress led UDF alliance in the state with the ruling front likely to bag between 69 to 77 seats in 140 seat assembly. The Congress led UDF’s tally is likely to be between 63 to 71 seats.
The key findings of the poll suggest VS Achuthanandan was the most preferred choice for the chief minister with the CM’s popularity going up by three per cent over 2006. A controversial issue related to the Achuthanandan’s age too threw up key findings with the survey suggesting 68 per cent of the LDF supporters saying he wasn’t too old to be the CM. Interestingly, 42 per cent of the UDF supporters too said he is not too old to be the chief minister.
VOTE SHARE ESTIMATES (IN %)
2006 (ACTUAL)2011 (ESTIMATES)
LDF49%46
UDF4345
BJP56
OTHERS4
3


IS ACHUTHANANDAN TOO OLD TO BE THE CHIEF MINISTER
SUPPORTERNOYES
LDF68%25%
UDF4243
NEUTRAL5231


MOST PREFFERD CM, 2001- 2011
2001200420062011
A.K Antony33%32%5%3%
Oommen Chandy3125
V.S. Achuthanandan15253538
Pinarayi Vijayan32
K.karunakaran137
E.K  Nayanar208

PUBLIC OPINION ON THE MAJOR CONTROVERSIES
Event% heard about itReaction to how the government handled the issue
Handled wellHandled poorly
Sabarimala stampede86%49%23%
Munnar evictions814820
Smart city project714117

AWARENESS OF SCAMS
SCAMAWARE
Lottery scam82%
Common wealth games71
Ice cream parlour scandal85
2G telecom scam67
Idamalayar dam corruption case72
SNC Lavalin case76

ASSESMENT OF THE WORK DONE BY THE UDF AND LDF GOVERNMENTS
UDF 2006
LDF 2011
Satisfied52%65%
Dissatisfied3724

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